Commercial Insight: Antithrombotics
Pipeline products to dampen the impact of patent expiries and cost containment initiatives
Pages: 290
Publisher: Datamonitor
Date Published: December 2006
Format: PDF, Data-Pack
Price: $15200
Overview
Introduction
The ageing of the population will result in an increased incidence of coronary artery disease, heart failure and stroke. In addition to these epidemiological forces, the antithrombotics market will be sustained by the forthcoming launch of innovative novel agents whose sales revenue is expected to dampen the commercial impact of generic incursion in blockbuster proceeds.
Scope
Country specific event-driven sales forecasts for the period 2006-15 for the US, Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK
Discussion of recent trials and market-shaping future key events
Profiles of the country and market specific issues which will impact future sales in the market including generic erosion and class switching
Case studies evaluating the commercial impact of two developmental agents with blockbuster potential
Highlights
Demographic trends lead to an increase in the patient population requiring antithrombotic therapy. However, the rising age of the population across all developed regions is increasing the fiscal burden on healthcare payors which are likely to respond by limiting the reimbursement potential of therapies and put pricing pressure on all agents.
The highest selling brands in the antidiabetics market are Lovenox (enoxaparin) and Plavix (clopidogrel), but these agents are subject to forthcoming genericization and will thus not contribute to the growth of the antithrombotics market in the medium-to-long term. Pipeline agents are expected to become significant drivers in the market.
The antithrombotics market is characterized by pockets of high unmet need and a broad spectrum of similarly efficacious therapeutic strategies. There is regional bias in the choice and popularity of therapeutic strategies driven by cultural reasons as well as infrastructural confines.
Reasons to Purchase
Quantify future size and scope of the antithrombotics market and potential for new products
Analyze options to expand commercial potential through pursuit of new indications
Formulate successful launch strategies in a highly competitive mature market
Table of Contents
CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Objective of the analysis
Datamonitor insight into the antithrombotics market
CHAPTER 2 MARKET DEFINITION AND OVERVIEW
Market definition for this report
Current market situation
Antithrombotics market: overview
Anticoagulants market
Heparins
Low molecular weight heparin (LMWH)
Parenteral non-heparinoid anticoagulants
Oral anticoagulants
Antiplatelets market
ADP receptor antagonists
cAMP enhancing platelet aggregation inhibitors
GP 2b/3a inhibitors
Other antiplatelets
Thrombolytics market
National markets
Anticoagulants
Antiplatelets
Thrombolytics
Key clinical trials
Key clinical trials in the anticoagulant category
Lovenox (enoxaparin)
Angiomax (bivalirudin)
Arixtra (fondaparinux)
Key clinical trials in the antiplatelet category
Plavix (clopidogrel)
Key clinical trials in the thrombolytics category
TNK (tenecteplase)
Actilyse (tPA, alteplase)
CHAPTER 3 COUNTRY MARKET ASSESSMENTS
Current and future opportunities and threats in the antithrombotics market
Global opportunities and threats
Opportunity: increasing patient pool due to changes in demography and lifestyle
Threat: cost-conscious pricing and reimbursement environment
US
US opportunities
US threats
Japan
Japan opportunities
Japan threats
EU5: opportunities and threats
EU5 Opportunities
EU5 Threats
France: opportunities and threats
France opportunities
France threats
Germany: opportunities and threats
Germany opportunities
Germany threats
Italy: opportunities and threats
Italy opportunities
Italy threats
Spain: opportunities and threats
Spain opportunities
Spain threats
UK: opportunities and threats
UK opportunities
UK threats
Summary of environmental issues affecting the antithrombotic market size
CHAPTER 4 FORECAST ANALYSIS
Key assumptions and events
New products
Future outlook on key marketed products
Lovenox (enoxaparin)
Angiomax (bivalirudin)
Arixtra (fondaparinux)
Plavix (clopidogrel)
GP 2b/3a inhibitors and thrombolytics
Generic incursion: patent expiries and marketing exclusivity
Limitations of data
Forecasts
CHAPTER 5 CASE STUDIES: KEY PIPELINE AGENTS
Case study A – What commercial potential does the oral anticoagulant market segment harbor?
The market opportunity
Warfarin’s monitoring requirement and dosing complexity generates an opening in the market for novel oral anticoagulants
Oral antiplatelets are unlikely to threaten commercial potential of emerging oral anticoagulants
The key competitors in development
The commercial potential of oral anticoagulants
Patient potential of oral anticoagulants
Sales forecast of the two most advanced oral anticoagulants
Conclusions
Case study B – Will prasugrel capture the antiplatelet market?
The market opportunity
The unmet need profile of the antiplatelet market indicates opportunities for novel antiplatelets.
Commercial potential of prasugrel
Drug overview: prasugrel (CS-747)
Sales forecast of prasugrel
APPENDIX A
Bibliography
Report methodology
Standard units
Japanese market data
APPENDIX B – MARKET FORECAST DATA
US forecasts
Japan forecasts
France forecasts
Germany forecasts
Italy forecasts
Spain forecasts
UK forecasts
M5EU forecasts
Global forecasts
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